Posts Tagged “house”
Freddie Mac’s recently released economic outlook describes a refreshingly brighter view of the year ahead, but the pace of recovery in the forecast is well below the growth that has followed most recessions in the past half-century.
As the still-fragile recovery gradually gains more solid footing by the end of the year, Freddie Mac’s economic outlook anticipates real GDP growth of 3 to 3.5 percent. In addition, Freddie Mac said the jobs picture will improve, but it will be with some delay, as many employers postpone hiring until business picks up further.
While the housing market showed broad signs of stabilizing in the second half of 2009, risks of retrenchment remain high in the face of the heavy flow of foreclosures and REO properties. As a result, prices in the hardest-hit areas have the potential to be depressed even further. At the national level, Freddie Mac said it expects the housing market to weather the growth in distressed sales without significant setbacks, but risks still remain.
Considering current conditions and economic policies as well as the lessons from past business cycles, Freddie Mac believes this view is justified. While this scenario does assume that there is no further flare-up of financial crisis, this appears to be a reasonable expectation, Freddie Mac said. Conditions in most parts of the market are on the mend, many risk spreads are returning to pre-crisis normal, and corporate bond markets have largely recovered. In December, the first commercial mortgage-backed security was issued without TALF backing since mid-2008, but the private-label single family mortgage-backed security market is still largely frozen.
Following the 1974-1975 recession and the double-dip recessions in the early 1980s, economic growth surged 7 percent or more for sustained periods. This is more than twice the pace Freddie Mac expects over the coming year. Such subdued performance is due in large part to the aftereffects of the financial crisis, including the high rate of mortgage defaults, the growing inventory of loans in foreclosure, weakened bank balance sheets and the corresponding reluctance to lend, and depressed household net worth.
However, macroeconomic policies aimed at offsetting these drags are providing support for the recovery. About one-
third of the $784 billion of fiscal stimulus money was spent or went to Americans in the form of tax deductions during 2009, and including funds obligated for projects and activities brings the total funds committed to about one-half of the $748 billion. Freddie Mac said most of the remaining funds will flow into the economy this year, bolstering private spending.
In addition, monetary policy is extremely accommodative, and FOMC statements have signaled that target interest rates are likely to remain “extraordinarily low” until the economy and labor markets improve. While the Fed has said most of the liquidity facilities put into place during this crisis will continue to wind down, private markets appear ready to reassume their role, eliminating the need for these facilities to go forward.
The near-term picture of housing market trends was clouded by the passing of the original deadline for the first-time home homebuyers’ tax credit, Freddie Mac said. Home sales surged in 2009 in advance of the planned end of the credit, but sales may experience a temporary slowdown as many potential buyers who would normally have bought a home in early 2010 rushed to close before the end of November.
Initial reports of housing activity are consistent with such a decline. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, mortgage applications for home purchases declined 20 percent in December, relative to the third quarter average, and the National Association of Realtors reported a 16 percent decrease in pending home sales in November. The weakness in pending home sales even prior the original expiration of the tax credit could be due to the length of time from when a contract is signed until closing, Freddie Mac explained. A lower level of closings in December would imply fewer pending contracts in November.
With the extension of the tax credit through spring and its expansion to include existing home buyers, it is likely that additional buyers will accelerate their purchase decisions into the first half of 2010. As a result, a rebound in sales is expected.
Despite the expected pickup in sales, single-family mortgage originations are projected to be about 10 percent lower in 2010, compared with last year. This decline in originations is driven by lessened refinance activity, as the refinance share is projected to slip from approximately two-thirds of lending in 2009 to just over one-half of this year’s volume.
In a market where the interest rate differential relative to the adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) is small, borrowers prefer the steady principal and interest payments of a fixed-rate loan. As a result, ARM volume is anticipated to continue to be muted. In addition, interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate loans are projected to remain in the 5 to 6 percent range through 2010, marking a continuation of a relatively low-rate environment that will support the housing market recovery.
DSNews.com
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If you’re getting ready to put your house on the market, you have my condolences. It’s no secret that the real estate market is extremely tough right now, particularly for sellers. Because the U.S. housing market is flooded with unsold inventory, homebuyers have countless choices available to them – which gives them all the power. If your home doesn’t suit their fancy, they’ll simply move along to next house on their mile-long property list. (Read Selling Your Home In A Down Market and Closing A Real Estate Deal In A Down Market for some tips on how to make it easier to sell your house.)
With this in mind, you’re probably thinking about making some home upgrades that are certain to attract flocks of admiring buyers. While it’s certainly a smart move to make a few improvements, don’t overdo it. If you spend stacks of cash on remodeling expenses, you’ll probably never recoup your investment – especially in this buyer’s market.
So how do you know which upgrades are worth the hassle and which ones aren’t? For the most part, real estate experts agree that new kitchen counter-tops and appliances, bathroom remodels and energy-saving improvements will pay off in the long run. On the other hand, pros point out that these four upgrades aren’t worth your time and money.
- Over-the-Top Improvements
Before you invest tons of money into an elaborate full-house renovation project, consider what the competing properties in your neighborhood have to offer. While you want your house to stand out from the competition, you shouldn’t make unwarranted upgrades that greatly exceed other properties in the area. Not only will you end up losing money, but you may even scare off potential buyers.
Look at it this way: Let’s say you show up to your nephew’s third birthday party wearing a ball gown when all the other guests are wearing jeans and t-shirts. Wouldn’t you feel a little out of place? Likewise, if you were to transform your cozy cottage into a luxurious, three-story mansion, it would probably stick out like a sore thumb in your neighborhood of modest ranch-style homes.
Find out how similarly priced homes in your neighborhood measure up, and make improvements based on your specific marketplace.
- Swimming Pools
This one is a big surprise for many homeowners. Believe it or not, a swimming pool rarely adds value to a home in this day and age. First of all, it usually costs a small fortune to have an in-ground swimming pool installed. Secondly, you’re probably not going to recoup your investment. Why? Because many homebuyers view an in-ground swimming pool as a high-maintenance hassle and safety hazard.
When a homebuyer sees an in-ground pool in your backyard, they may have visions of spending ridiculous amounts of money and time on pool maintenance chores. Plus, buyers with young children often steer clear of homes with pools because of safety concerns. In other words, home buyers are more likely to view your in-ground pool as an inconvenience – not a selling point.
- Replacing a Popular Feature
Before you consider making a major home change, such as converting your garage into a game room, take a look around. If every other home in your neighborhood boasts a two-car garage, you should probably think twice. Do you really want to be the only house in the area with no garage? Most homebuyers would prefer to have a sheltered place to park their car than a room to play ping pong and darts.
- Daring Designs
We all want to design and decorate our home so that it reflects our unique style. However, if you’re trying to sell your home, now is not the time to incorporate bold design choices into the décor. For example, if you have lime-green granite countertops, leopard-print wallpaper, lavender carpet and an elaborate mural of chubby cherubs painted on your bedroom ceiling, one look will send home buyers dashing for the door.
If your home beams with your eclectic tastes, try to tone it down before you plant that “For Sale” sign in the front yard. Tear down the flamingo wallpaper and slap a fresh coat of neutral-colored paint on the walls. Replace the lilac carpet with a standard beige or brown, and get rid of any extremely personal features that would be considered “abnormal” as opposed to “traditional.” Homebuyers should be able to imagine themselves living in your home – and that’s practically impossible to do if there are mounted deer heads peering down at them from the walls of every room.
Overall, it’s good to put some work into your house before you try to sell it, as it can add value and make it more attractive to potential buyers. However, there are some things that will have the buyer running for the door - or will at least not add anything to the house’s closing price. Keep these things in mind when you’re getting ready to put up that “For Sale”sign. (For more on selling your house, check out Top 4 Things That Determine A Home’s Value and Will You Break Even On Your Home?)
Investopedia
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Are you in the business of building homes or building better communities? Do you offer more than a “great” buy? Does your product help or hinder the environment? According to the third annual Edelman goodpurposeTM Consumer Study your answer to these questions may just affect your future sustainability as a real estate builder, developer, contractor, remodeler, etc. The survey found that despite the recession, consumers are still spending with companies and brands that have a social purpose. New findings released from the survey of 6,000 people in 10 countries, revealed that during this recession, 57 percent globally say a company or brand has earned their business because it has been doing its part to support good causes.
“People all over the world are now wearing, driving, eating, and living their social purpose as sustained engagement with good causes becomes a new criterion for social status and good social behavior,” said Mitch Markson, Edelman’s chief creative officer, president of its brand consulting group and founder of goodpurpose. “This gives companies and brands associated with a worthy cause an opportunity to build long-term relationships with consumers that, in turn, allow them to feel valuable within their communities.”
The study also found that 83 percent of people are willing to change consumption habits if it can help make the world a better place to live, indicating a startling consumer shift and trend away from traditional status markers like big houses and luxury cars and toward identification with social purpose brands. Considerably more people (70 percent) would prefer to live in an eco-friendly house than merely a big house (30 percent), and 68 percent also now feel that it’s becoming more unacceptable not to make noticeable efforts to show concern for the environment and live a healthy lifestyle, with an overwhelmingly 80 percent preferring to support the livelihood of local producers.
“People are demanding social purpose, and brands are recognizing it as an area where they can differentiate themselves and in many parts of the world, not only meet governmental compliance requirements, but also build brand equity,” said Markson. “This year’s study shows that if companies respond intelligently to the sea change in consumer attitudes, brand loyalty among consumers – even during seriously challenging economic times – will actually grow. Even better, consumers will want to share their support for these brands with others.”
While the study reveals that social purpose is becoming increasingly crucial to a brand’s success, a brand purpose must be authentic and true to the core values of the brand itself, and brands must look beyond traditional corporate social responsibility programs in which they simply donate money to a good cause. As the study notes, 66 percent of people believe that it’s no longer enough for corporations to merely give money away, but that they must integrate good causes into their day-to-day business.
“Companies that become catalysts for social change and respond to rising consumer expectations that they and their brands help make the world a better place will not only survive, but also thrive, in ways their competitors will not,” said Markson. “Mutual social responsibility provides that opportunity, as people today are more passionately involved and supportive than ever, yet more demanding and unforgiving, as well.” These numbers would indicate those real estate builders, developers, contractors, remodelers and others who want to survive in this economy and those in the future would be wise to adhere to the behaviors of consumers who want social change and environmental awareness.
RealtyTimes.com
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According to its own estimates, the FDIC will sustain losses exceeding $36 billion to cover the 140 bank failures in 2009. That price tag will eclipse the total dollar amount
 of the losses the FDIC incurred during the six years spanning 1987 through 1992, when 1,049 banks collapsed during the savings and loan (S&L) crisis, costing the FDIC $29.6 billion.
These latest findings are contained in a report produced by the Meridian Group of Seattle. The Meridian report compares bank failure statistics from the nation’s latest financial crisis to bank failure statistics from the S&L crisis of 20 years ago. The conclusion: the most recent meltdown, triggered by problems in the housing sector, is the worst crisis the FDIC has ever faced, with 2009 the costliest year ever for bank failures.
In the previous savings and loan crisis, the average failed banking institution had total assets of $205 million, according to Meridian’s analysis. In 2009, the average collapsed institution had total assets of $1.2 billion.
Perhaps more importantly, the average banking institution that failed during the savings and loan crisis cost the FDIC $28 million. In 2009, that average jumps to $261 million per failure.
“Each time a bank failed in 2009, we heard that – bad as it seemed – 2009 wasn’t as bad as 1989, when 534 banks failed,” said Meridian CEO Darren Berg. “But that’s simply not true. In fact, 2009 was the worst year ever for bank failures.”
Berg explained that in 2009, the banks that failed were significantly larger, roughly six times larger on average, than the banks that failed during the S&L years. Worse yet, the FDIC’s losses per closure have skyrocketed to nearly 10 times that of the S&L crisis, he added.
The Meridian report stops short of making a prediction for 2010. Rather, it offers an “observation” for the future.
“Given the secrecy surrounding the FDIC’s Watch List, it’s difficult to accurately predict the cost of looming bank failures,” Berg said. “But in light of the fact that the FDIC continues to add staff at a frantic pace, we believe it’s reasonable to assume the worst is yet to come.”
The Meridian Group of Companies is a collection of 13 companies that span the financial services, mortgage lending, software, and transportation sectors. Companies owned by Meridian include two newly introduced real estate opportunity funds focused on purchasing residential land assets at significant discounts from failed financial institutions.
DSNews.com
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Savvy investors are always the first to jump in a potentially profitable housing market and a new survey indicates things are heating up.
More than 12 percent of homebuyers today plan to purchase a home as an investment, compared to less than half, only 5.6 percent, just seven months ago, according to a recent Move.com Homeownership Survey.
Foreclosure buyers account for 25.3 percent of consumers interested in purchasing a home and 42 percent of potential foreclosure buyers regard their purchases as investments, while 57.6 percent plan to live in the foreclosed home themselves.
“This latest Homeownership Survey validates what many had hoped to see in the housing markets — affordable prices and ample inventories are restoring the appeal of real estate to investors while providing opportunities for first time home buyers to enter the market,” said Move, Inc.’s chief revenue officer, Errol Samuelson.
Interest rates below 5 percent for much of the year and low home prices, which may be at or near market bottom, are also bringing investors back to the fold.
The new and improved home-buyer tax credit, no longer just for first time home buyers, can also be a boost for those taking the practical approach to investing by buying their own home first.
The survey of 1,004 consumers, conducted from October 16 to 18 this year, found:
• Foreclosure buyers are confident they will profit from discounted purchase prices, as well as healthy appreciation rates over the next five years.
• Most foreclosure buyers, 58.2 percent, expect to pay 20 percent or less than market price for a foreclosure, while 38.5 percent expect a 25 percent or greater discount.
• Expectations are high — 73 percent expect their properties to appreciate ten percent or more in five years, 28 percent expect their purchases to appreciate 20 percent or more.
Given the current market of flat and falling home prices, that may sound like high hopes, but RealtyTrac.com explains that lenders want to unload overhead-heavy inventories of repossessed and foreclosed home.
That forces lenders to list their homes below market and offer properties at a discount, giving the buyer some built in equity.
• Foreclosure buyers intend to convert their foreclosures into rentals (13.2 percent), fix them up for re-sale (11.3 percent), or house a family member until the home can be sold at a profit (17.4 percent).
In some markets, especially resort and vacation rental markets, where rents are higher, conditions bode well for investors who want to enjoy positive cash flow as they wait for equity to build.
“If you find a well priced property located in a healthy rental market and are able to manage and monitor the property and maintain a positive cash flow from the onset for a unit used strictly for income purposes, rather than being held with the expectation of price appreciation, this could be a good time to become a landlord,” said Nancy Osborne, chief operating officer of Erate.com, a Santa Clara, CA-based financial information publisher and interest rate tracker.
Broderick Perkins
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