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Archive for July, 2010

WASHINGTON—It is difficult to locate a silver lining in the latest prognosis for the battered American dream, with new data suggesting an unprecedented housing meltdown has slipped even more deeply into the crater of joblessness.

But some commentators managed to do just that Thursday, trumpeting a new RealtyTrac survey that showed the worst may be over for 23 of the 25 cities most ravaged by the foreclosure crisis.

From Las Vegas to Bakersfield to Tampa, almost all the most bubblicious of American towns appear to be levelling off after hemorrhaging housing value during the sub-prime mortgage plunge.

But in fact all 25 cities still suffer from foreclosure rates two to five times the national average. More ominously, the RealtyTrac figures showed foreclosures creeping throughout the rest of the country to recession-battered cities not closely associated with the original crisis. In all, 75 per cent of 206 metropolitan areas with at least 200,000 residents saw a spike in home auctions, repossessions or notices of default between January and June of this year. Fully one in 78 homes were embroiled in foreclosure.

Behind all the numbers, social researchers are only just beginning to come to grips with the human toll. And this too makes for grim reading, albeit one with a different smidgen of hope.

“It really is breathtaking in a terrible sort of way to look across the range of impacts, from housing to joblessness,” said Rich Morin, who tracking the pain for the Pew Research Centre.

The Pew research team’s most recent findings – based on in-depth interviews with nearly 1,000 jobless Americans as part of a larger nationwide survey of 3,000 people — are embodied in their report’s title: Lost Income, Lost Friends — and Loss of Self-respect.

What is especially striking is the sense of permanence that has settled in among some Americans who’ve suffered the most — middle-class, middle-income, middle-aged Americans, especially Baby Boomers in the 50-64 age bracket, many of whom have burned through all their assets and now face a retirement under unchangeably diminished circumstances.

“A few years ago we spoke about the Baby Boom being at the peak of earning potential,” Morin said in an interview. “But they were the ones who made major investments in larger homes and really took it on the chin. Many did so well for so long and now this. It’s like a reward for our hubris, being flat broke.

“This translates to psychological impacts. Four out of 10 of the unemployed we spoke to tell us family relations have suffered, 40 per cent said they lost contact with close friends. And a third say they have lost self-respect.

“The data suggests this is going to alter retirement plans. For people who are losing their house, when the recession ends they aren’t getting that money back. And many have rethought their careers in the downward sense, settling for and making due with jobs that just aren’t as good as what they had.”

So where is that glimmer? Pew found that despite everything, a majority of Americans say they still has faith in home ownership.

“They know it’s going to be hard, they know it’ll be a long while yet,” said Morin. “But owning property, for the majority, is the way you become a fully formed person in America. To own a home, to put down roots in a place you call your own – that ideal is intact.

“I suppose that says something about American culture. There’s something to be said for the eternal optimist. Americans as a species have always tended to look on the bright side. And it appears we still do.”

thestar.com

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U.S. apartment landlords are seeing a surge in rentals as mounting foreclosures reduce home ownership and an improving job market for young adults encourages them to find their own places to live.

The number of occupied apartments increased by 215,000 in the 64 largest U.S. markets in the first half, according to MPF Research. That’s almost double the units added in all of 2009 and the most since the firm began tracking the data in 1992. The vacancy rate declined to 6.6 percent last month from 8.2 percent in December.

“Demand is pretty stunningly strong in the first half,” Greg Willett, a vice president at the Carrollton, Texas-based apartment-industry research firm, said in an interview.

Investors are betting the expanding ranks of renters will lead to earnings increases next year of about 5 percent to 10 percent or more for apartment real estate investment trusts such as Equity Residential and AvalonBay Communities Inc. UBS AG this month raised its rating on AvalonBay, Essex Property Trust Inc. and Post Properties Inc. to “neutral” from “sell.”

The change signifies a “less bearish” view on apartments, while acknowledging that “headwinds will remain,” according to the July 7 report by New York-based analysts Dustin Pizzo, Ross T. Nussbaum and Derek Bower.

“The apartment REITs have priced in the most growth within the broader REIT group and as such are most vulnerable if the economy slows and job growth does not begin to come through in a meaningful way,” they wrote.

The Bloomberg REIT Apartment Index has gained 28 percent this year, double the 14 percent advance in the broader Bloomberg REIT Index. The Standard & Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index has fallen 3.1 percent.

The economy’s recovery from the worst recession since the 1930s has revived hiring enough to stimulate demand for apartments. The growth hasn’t been enough to prevent more home foreclosures, which lift rental demand, or to lead to a sustained rebound in homebuying.

New jobs are the biggest driver of apartment occupancy. Employers began hiring again in January, adding an average of 147,000 jobs a month through June, according to the Labor Department. Employment for people 20 to 29 years old — a key group for landlords — rose in May and June on a year-over-year basis for the first time since the end of 2007.

While payroll growth has been modest compared with pre-recession levels, it may be enough to have persuaded some families sharing housing with relatives to get their own places, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics Inc. in West Chester, Pa.

“Given how hard it is for families to live together for very long, they moved out as soon as they got a job or even thought they could find one,” he said in an e-mail.

Finances for homeowners didn’t improve fast enough to prevent more than 1.65 million foreclosure filings in the first half, an increase of 8 percent from the same period in 2009, RealtyTrac Inc., a data company in Irvine, Calif., said July 15. A record 269,962 U.S. homes were seized from delinquent owners in the second quarter as lenders set a pace to claim more than 1 million properties by the end of 2010.

The U.S. homeownership rate fell to 66.9 percent in the second quarter, the lowest since 1999, the U.S. Census Bureau said Tuesday. The rate peaked at 69.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2004.

“As homeownership continues to decline, people need to live somewhere,” said Henry Cisneros, who was President Bill Clinton’s housing secretary from 1993 to 1997 and is executive chairman of CityView, a real estate investment firm in Los Angeles that focuses on urban projects including apartments.

The rate of new-home sales last month was the second-lowest on record, behind May, following the expiration of a government tax credit for homebuyers, the Commerce Department reported Monday. Sales of previously owned homes fell 5.1 percent in June, the National Association of Realtors said last week.

“The rental market will be robust for the next few years,” Cisneros said.

Effective rents, or what tenants pay after concessions or breaks from landlords, increased 1.4 percent in the biggest markets in the first half, according to MPF Research. Rents may rise 4 percent to 6 percent in both 2011 and 2012, compared with a gain of about 2 percent this year, Willett said.

AvalonBay, which took a nine-month hiatus from construction in 2009, said in April it had seven communities under development and would increase rents for tenants renewing in the second quarter. It raised its forecast last month for second- quarter and 2010 earnings based on “improved operating trends.”

The Arlington, Va.-based company’s funds from operations, a widely used measure of earnings, will rise 8 percent in 2011, according to the medial estimate of 20 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Equity Residential, based in Chicago, has pushed rents up by “high single digits” in all of its markets since January, Chief Executive Officer David Neithercut said in a June 11 interview. Funds from operations in 2011 also will rise 8 percent, according to a survey of 22 analysts.

Landlords won’t be able to raise rents too aggressively because unemployment remains high at 9.5 percent and declines in home prices have made it no more expensive to buy than rent in about half of larger markets around the nation, Willett said.

In Atlanta, the median home price has fallen 37 percent to $110,100 from the peak in the third quarter of 2006, according to the National Association of Realtors. Assuming a 10 percent down payment and a 30-year mortgage at 5 percent, the monthly principal and interest cost is $532. That compares with average monthly rents of $774 in the city, Willett said.

Riverstone Residential Group of Dallas, which manages 175,000 units in 30 markets around the country, reduced average concessions to about a half-month’s rent from about two months a year ago, CEO Walt Smith said. Vacancies have fallen below 5.9 percent in buildings that aren’t newly constructed, from 8.25 percent last year. Smith said he expects significant rent growth by 2012 as supply tightens with so few new units being built.

“Landlords are cautiously testing the strength of the submarket their property is in to see if the market will withstand small rent increases,” Smith said. “In most markets, they’ve been successful.”

http://finance-commerce.com/2010/07/apartment-rentals-surge-on-foreclosures-jobs/

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Chicago’s collar counties are bracing for millions of dollars in lost revenue if Gov. Pat Quinn signs a bill that would give banks the choice to hire private companies to handle the growing number of home foreclosures across northern Illinois.

The measure garnered near unanimous support in the General Assembly, but now some of the lawmakers who once championed it are urging Quinn to veto the bill.

“I’m in favor of the governor vetoing this or at least letting us go back and change it in such a way that it doesn’t hurt counties,” said state Rep. Dan Brady, R-Bloomington, who co-sponsored the bill in the House but then removed his name from the measure last week. “I don’t think many of us realized what the unintended consequences of this might be.”

State Sen. A.J. Wilhelmi, D-Joliet, who co-sponsored the bill in the Senate, said he has asked for a meeting with Quinn to warn him about the financial risks.

“I now have concerns about the potential negative consequences that may result to counties,” Wilhelmi said.

The governor’s office is reviewing the bill and has reached out to its sponsors, said spokeswoman Annie Thompson.

At a time of soaring home foreclosures across Chicago and its suburbs, counties have created a valuable extra stream of revenue by tacking on fees to each transaction.

In Will County, where years of housing growth have given way to mounting foreclosures, administrative fees brought in an additional $1.5 million last year and are expected to rake in close to $2.5 million in 2010, officials said. Records show similar fees earned DuPage and Lake counties more than $1.2 million in 2009; Kane County pulled in about $1 million.

In Cook County, private companies already compete with the county for foreclosures and have secured about 98 percent of the business, said sheriff’s spokesman Steve Patterson.

When a foreclosure is filed in court, judges appoint someone — typically the local sheriff’s office — to oversee the proceedings, from handling the eviction to filing paperwork and reselling the home.

“(An eviction) can be a really emotional time for most families, and I think it’s helpful to have a uniformed officer on hand to explain all your options,” said Will County sheriff’s spokesman Pat Barry.

Counties recoup some of the money spent during a foreclosure by tacking on administrative fees, often hundreds of dollars, that is directed back into their general fund.

The new bill would tweak the existing law by transferring power from judges to the plaintiffs — banks or mortgage lenders — who could streamline the sales process and avoid paying county administrative fees by hiring a private company to mediate the foreclosure.

The measure’s staunchest supporter, state Rep. Lou Lang, D-Skokie, views the bill as “consumer friendly” and says it’s simply clarifying a law that has been co-opted by judges looking to boost revenue at the county level.

“With foreclosures having increased in the last couple of years, I think counties see this as a chance to pile on,” said Andrew Schusteff, president of Intercounty Judicial Sales, a Chicago company that handles foreclosure proceedings and sales. “Besides a money grab by the counties, what justification can be made for the sheriff’s departments to be involved in these cases?”

Schusteff said private companies can often put homes back on the market within weeks after a foreclosure, compared with months for the sheriff’s department. Quicker proceedings may save families money if they’re able to work out an agreement to save their homes from the bank, Schusteff said, and it could improve surrounding property values and save municipalities the costly upkeep of abandoned homes.

Schusteff said Intercounty was among a handful of private firms who helped draft the bill, and records show it has been a generous contributor to Lang’s re-election efforts. Intercounty and its founder, Fred Lappe, have donated $30,800 to Lang’s campaigns since 2001, according to the State Board of Elections’ Web site.

Lang bristles at those who say those donations explain his support of the bill.

“Of course people support people who support them,” Lang said. “But under that argument, all campaign donations are tainted. That’s wrong, and it’s insulting to me.”

chicagotribune.com

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814 E Willow #112

Spacious 1 bedroom, 1bathroom condominium in good condition. Purchase this property for as little as 3%  down w/ Homepath financing. Seller wont respond to offers from non owner occupied buyers until prop has been listed for 15 calendar days. Offers need pre-approval & EM due in certified funds at acceptance. No bill of sale on personal prop. No disclosures. Addendum required after seller accepts offer. Cash must have current POF. View the many pictures we have to offer at www.illinoisforeclosuredeals.com and call today to schedule a viewing of this property at 847-967-0022. This property is exclusively represented by The Helen Oliveri Team of Keller Williams Realty.

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