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Archive for April, 2010

One day in June 2005, a housing economist I was interviewing said he was starting to worry about large numbers of homeowners finding themselves “underwater.”

“What’s that?” I asked. It was a new term to me. At that time, Americans were practically drunk on housing, buying up real estate as fast as they could, and few voices, especially those in the industry, were willing to spoil the party by suggesting that a hangover was on the horizon.

Maybe you prefer the term “upside down” to underwater, but in either case, it means that you owe more on your mortgage than the house is worth.

Today, though, we seem to be sadly acquainted with the concept, according to a new survey by Harris Interactive, which claims that nearly one-fourth of all people who hold mortgages on their homes think they’re underwater.

That’s more than 27 million people, the pollster said.

And they’re worried, the poll reported. Among those who claimed underwater status, 42 percent say they’re “very concerned,” and another 38 percent are “somewhat concerned” about not having enough income to cover their costs.

All of this was announced at about the same time that the federal government said it was ramping up its Home Affordable Modification Program, or HAMP, to help some underwater borrowers. Participating lenders may now receive incentives to reduce the principal on loans that are more than 115 percent of the current value of the property, though that life preserver may be tossed too late to help some. The Treasury Department has said it might not have the incentive program fully operational until this fall — if it happens on a broad scale at all.

This week, representatives of the major banks appeared before Congress to talk about the voluntary program and expressed some strong reservations, even though many industry observers had earlier gauged the lenders to be onboard with the HAMP plan. David Lowman of JPMorgan Chase said the estimated $700 billion to $900 billion cost of principal forgiveness would have to be paid for somewhere, and it probably would be priced into the cost of future mortgage lending.

Then there’s the simmering-anger issue: U.S. Rep. Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas, wondered during the hearings about the fairness of it.

“It’s a policy that says to the citizens who work hard, who live within their means, who save for a rainy day, ‘You are a sucker.’ When you’re struggling to pay your own mortgage, you shouldn’t be forced to pay your neighbors’ as well,” he said.

The Washington report

The National Association of Realtors recently disclosed it spent $5.6 million lobbying the federal government in the fourth quarter of 2009.

That spending was about one-third more than the $4.2 million spent in the third quarter by the trade group, which is headquartered in Chicago.

Trading spaces, sort of

On the same day this month, two real estate sites separately announced they were going into each other’s territory. A popular site for listings of homes for sale announced it would expand into listings of rentals. And a popular site for finding vacation homes for rent announced it had created a marketplace for listings of vacation properties for sale.

The switches reflect a couple of realities in today’s market. Trulia.com, in announcing that in addition to homes for sale it would also offer search features for rentals, explained that it believes that Americans these days could go either way — buy or rent — and the company wants to accommodate.

Trulia might be right: Another rentals site, Apartments.com (which is partly owned by Tribune Co., which owns the Chicago Tribune), says it saw “unprecedented growth” early this year, with a spike in traffic to the site and in follow-through calls to landlords. The rental business has struggled mightily in this recession, but it’s not hard to picture more would-be homeowners deciding to stay on the sidelines as renters now.

And HomeAway.com, which dominates the vacation-rental market online, unveiled HomeAwayRealEstate.com on the same day. The company, based in Austin, Texas, cites National Association of Realtors data suggesting the market for second homes is recovering. That may well be true, but it’s also true that today’s economic realities have turned that once-beloved getaway home into a drain on the wallet for many people who are simultaneously trying to rent it and sell it.

In either case, see “underwater,” above.

Mary Umberger

An underwater world for many homeowners — chicagotribune.com

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The recovery is picking up steam as employers boost payrolls, but economists think the government’s stimulus package and jobs bill had little to do with the rebound, according to a survey released Monday.

In latest quarterly survey by the National Association for Business Economics, the index that measures employment showed job growth for the first time in two years — but a majority of respondents felt the fiscal stimulus had no impact.

NABE conducted the study by polling 68 of its members who work in economic roles at private-sector firms. About 73% of those surveyed said employment at their company is neither higher nor lower as a result of the $787 billion Recovery Act, which the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers says is on track to create or save 3.5 million jobs by the end of the year.

That sentiment is shared for the recently passed $17.7 billion jobs bill that calls for tax breaks for businesses that hire and additional infrastructure spending. More than two-thirds of those polled believe the measure won’t affect payrolls, while 30% expect it to boost hiring “moderately.”

But the economists see conditions improving. More than half of respondents — 57% — say industrial demand is rising, while just 6% see it declining. A growing number also said their firms are increasing spending and profit margins are widening.

Nearly a quarter of those surveyed forecast that gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity, will grow more than 3% in 2010, and 70% of NABE’s respondents expect it to grow more than 2%.

Still, the survey suggested that tight lending conditions remain a concern. Almost half of those polled said the credit crunch hurts their business.

Cnn.com

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front

Multi unit home w/ two 3bedroom units and a detached 2.5 car garage. Come see this wonderful opportunity! Sold as-is; no survey or disclosures. Buyer responsible for any/all compliances, escrows etc if required. All inspections including systems tests are at buyer’s expense. All offers require pre-approval & EM due in certified funds at acceptance. Seller addendum required before submitting offer. Cash deals require proof of funds.

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front

New Construction Condo with updated kitchen, hardwood floors, balcony and parking!  Ready to move in.  Buyer responsible for any/all compliances, escrows etc if required. All inspections/systems tests are at buyer’s expense. Offers require pre-approval & EM due in certified funds at acceptance. Addendum required after seller accepts offer. Cash deals require proof funds. Buyer to verify room count, PIN #’s, zoning, schools etc. View the many pictures we have to offer at www.illinoisforeclosuredeals.com and call today to schedule a viewing of this property at 847-967-0022. This listing is exclusively represented by the Helen Oliveri Team of Keller Williams Realty.

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ECONOMY

Fannie: Excess homes weighing on recovery

Fannie Mae’s economic and mortgage market analysis group said Monday that the housing market is stabilizing but that excess inventory continues to hinder a recovery.

The D.C.-based mortgage giant released a report that projects economic growth of 3.1 percent for 2010. Doug Duncan, Fannie’s chief economist, said the unwinding of programs such as mortgage-backed securities are evidence of viability for the industry without federal aid.

New-home sales are at record lows and will remain slow, Fannie said, but it pointed to signs of recovery in existing-home sales.

INVESTING

American Capital prices stock offering

Private equity firm American Capital announced that it has priced a $295 million offering of common stock to a group of institutional investors. It will sell 58.3 million shares of its common stock to the investors at $5.06 a share. The offering is expected to close Thursday. The Bethesda firm will use the proceeds in part to invest, lend and repay debt.

EXECUTIVES

General Dynamics names senior VP

General Dynamics of Falls Church said Monday that it recruited Robert W. Helm, an assistant secretary of defense in the Reagan administration and 21-year Northrop Grumman executive, to be senior vice president of planning and development.

Helm, set to join on May 3, will oversee government and investor relations and strategic planning, among other duties.

Washington Post

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